The further rebound of CPI in the United States is in line with market expectations. The annual rate of CPI in the United States in November was 2.7%, which was expected to be 2.7% and the previous value was 2.60%. After seasonal adjustment, the monthly CPI rate is 0.3%, expected 0.3%, and the previous value is 0.20%. The annual rate of core CPI in the United States in November was not seasonally adjusted to 3.3%, which was expected to be 3.3% and the previous value was 3.30%. After seasonal adjustment, the monthly rate of core CPI is 0.3%, the expected rate is 0.30%, and the previous value is 0.30%.Traders increased their bets on the Fed's interest rate cut in December.Traders increased their bets on the Fed's interest rate cut. After the CPI report was released, swap traders increased their bets on the Fed's interest rate cut before the end of 2025. They now predict that by that time, they will cut interest rates by 87 basis points, which means that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates by 25 basis points next week. In 2025, there will be another two interest rate cuts of 25 basis points each time, which is less than the four times proposed by Fed officials in the latest quarterly bitmap in September.
US officials said that the United States is focused on providing Ukraine with the air defense system it needs to defend against Russian missiles and drones.The actual average weekly salary in November in the United States increased by 1% year-on-year. According to the data of the Bureau of Labor Statistics, the actual average weekly salary in November increased by 0.3% month-on-month. The actual average hourly wage in November was flat, and the actual average hourly wage in November increased by 1.3% year-on-year. The actual average weekly salary increased by $3.71, reaching $385.99.Before the release of CPI in the United States, the probability of the Fed cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in December was 86.1%. According to CME's "Fed Observation", the probability of the Fed keeping the current interest rate unchanged by December was 13.9%, and the cumulative probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points was 86.1%. The probability of keeping the current interest rate unchanged by January next year is 10.6%, the probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 69.1%, and the probability of cutting interest rates by 50 basis points is 20.2%.
Chris, analyst: After the US CPI was released, the US stock index futures once hit an intraday high, but the market reaction was still quite dull.Guang' an Aizhong: The company's stock price has been up and down for many days, and the risk of falling in the later period is greater. Guang' an Aizhong issued a change announcement. On December 11, 2024, the company's stock turnover rate was 11.73%, with a turnover of 919 million yuan. Since November 21, 2024, the company's stock has experienced a daily limit of 9 trading days, with a cumulative turnover rate of 257.64%. In view of the daily limit of the company's stock price for many days, but the company's fundamentals have not changed significantly, and the risk of falling in the later period is greater. Investors are advised to make rational decisions and invest cautiously.The institution is optimistic about these stocks today. On December 11th, as of press time, the institution gave 22 latest buy ratings, among which the target price of 8 stocks was announced:-Steady Medical was optimistic about Huatai Securities, giving a target price of 48.44 yuan; -Hongqi Chain was favored by CITIC Securities, with a target price of 6.80 yuan; -Contemporary Amperex Technology Co., Limited, Jinshiyuan, Fulongma and many other stocks are listed.